There's not a lot of speed in this race. The 1 and possibly the 3 will run early in something like 22.3 45.0. I don't trust routing speed in a sprint. I don't think either early horse can win. I'm looking OTE for a horse that can run well against that kind of a pace and can execute strong internal fractions. I arrive on the 8.
In his last he was in an 11.3 between the half and 5f not losing any ground. Then, 4 back against a 22.3 and 24.2, he made a real power move.
The 8 is my choice to win the race.
__________________
Tim
Don't look back. You're not going that way.
|