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Old 12-03-2021, 06:04 PM   #38
kahunab
Grade 2
 
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Join Date: Feb 2007
Location: Colorado
Posts: 79
Heavy Pressure Race with 21 Early Speed Points.

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Here is a race from today at Fair Grounds. Notice we have 3 E7s. This is likely a heavy pressure race. If you throw out any horse that cant run a Presser race, here is what you get.

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Ranking the horses on TS+F3, or late race picture, we see 8,1,2 as the top 3 late horses.

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Of our 3 horses, two appears to be most balanced and his VDC is good. The 1 and the 8 appear to far back in the early part of the race, EPR. They will have a lot of catching up to do. 1 has good VDC and Factor W and X. All 3 have a good line score and appear to be the strongest late horses. The 9 and 7 appear to fall apart late.

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2 is the most balance of the 3 horses . Note the EPR, late/Early, LPR, TPR Section. The Chart isn’t ready for the race yet. However, visually it didn’t run like a Heavy Pressure race. The 10 jumped out early and led to the mid stretch. The 2 was up close and went by the 10 in mid stretch. The 8 was closing like crazy but he was to far back and could only make it to 3rd. Interesting that it worked out just like a Heavy Pressure race as we would expect.
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