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Old 08-02-2015, 05:29 PM   #19
Capcondo
Grade 1
 
Join Date: Sep 2007
Location: Tempe, Arizona
Posts: 600
Del Mar #3:

When I put this race up, I didn't see much pace pressure. Now that 5 has been scratched, there is less pace pressure. Almost by default, I think the 4 will get the lead which is a place he doesn't want to be. He likes to run 4th at the first call. I'm guessing the 1st call at 22.3 with the half about 45.4.

I think the horses who will run well under this scenario are sustained horses. So, my top 2 horses are the 3 and the 7.

In race like this, the best sustained horses are the routers that show good times at the stretch call in routes. The 3 fits this scenario.

The 3 is my choice to win.

Tim
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