06-21-2011, 01:12 AM
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#5
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Grade 1
Join Date: Jul 2008
Posts: 311
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Correction
Quote:
Originally Posted by BJennet
Hi JL,
Thanks for the positive response. However, I think it's worth repeating something I've brought up a number of times - all the primary factors, TE, BL/BL, TPP, FW, etc. are so highly correlated as to be virtually interchangeable. As Guy Wadsworth and others have explained, Doc often like to make the programs look more complicated than they are - Mark Cramer described this as the P.T. Barnum/huckster side of his personality.
I use TE because the Energy screen features a granular version, rather than just a ranking, which is extremely useful for separating horses, and because I've found it to have slightly higher ROI than the other factors. In all the races on the Belmont card I mentioned, the horses were ranked on BL/BL in TPP in almost identical order as TE.
I do also pay attention to the e/l, especially when it seems to be extreme, but especially at a track like Belmont, it's a secondary factor.
The main point I was trying to make in posting is that there's special about anything I'm doing - it's the same simple method Doc outlined in the late Follow Ups.
Cheers,
B Jennet
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The last should read 'there's nothing special about anything I'm doing'.
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