Scratch #10
#2 is an open lengths Need to Lead Early who will be softened up by the #5 who will fight for the lead against any pace, but always faster than anything the #2 can handle, and can win a route versus 23.5 47.0 Thus the #2 is toast.
Mix this with the other OTEs #7 and #4 - who closes closer to the faster pace? #7
Thus -- #5 and #7
