Pace and Cap - Sartin Methodology & The Match Up - View Single Post

Speed · 01-12-2014, 09:41 AM

For the sake of this specific race with the info Pete posted the BRIS PP. Summary page at end shows 42% of the last 18 sprint races were won By E horse and 42% by E/P. I dont play SA very much so I don't keep a specific model. Curious what % Energy sprint model shows for this track this meet, Anyone?

You are not going to predict the Pace scenario correct all the time. A an E horse can break poorly or sometimes the trainer/Jock read the PP and alter the normal plan when they have a horse that they think can run a different style. For me I require Closers need higher odds as they have they always run the risk of trouble or alot of extra distance when they have to pass a bunch of horses.

01-12-2014, 09:41 AM	#15
Speed Maiden Join Date: Dec 2007 Posts: 3	For the sake of this specific race with the info Pete posted the BRIS PP. Summary page at end shows 42% of the last 18 sprint races were won By E horse and 42% by E/P. I dont play SA very much so I don't keep a specific model. Curious what % Energy sprint model shows for this track this meet, Anyone? You are not going to predict the Pace scenario correct all the time. A an E horse can break poorly or sometimes the trainer/Jock read the PP and alter the normal plan when they have a horse that they think can run a different style. For me I require Closers need higher odds as they have they always run the risk of trouble or alot of extra distance when they have to pass a bunch of horses. Last edited by Speed; 01-12-2014 at 09:48 AM.