Bill V. posted
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Horse 1 She's could go wire to wire. If she fails who will catch her ?
That is the decision. Is it horse 7 or 4.
At this point I would go to thoromation but just using Phase I
I would look at total pace and total energy and energy excretion. Once again thank you to Ted for putting everything in Phase 1 on one screen.
Horse 7 and 4 are tied on TPR but horse 7 has a 2 point advantage on
total energy. As for as energy horse 4 and 7 both use there energy
more early than late If horse 4 had the same readouts but had a higher
lp than ep I would have bet the 4
The phase 1 bets here would be 1 and 7 split 60/40
The #7 horse may have a 2 point advantage on total energy, but personally, from studying the concepts of Jim Bradshaw's Matchup Book. It may improve one's analysis of the matchup and taking a page out of his matchup principles and applying the concept in this matchup..
I do not see the "energy screen" but I am sure that horse #7 has a significant advantage at the 1st call of the energy readouts. Bradshaw has stated on many occasion that when a horse does not have to exert as much energy early in the pace matchup, the horse will have more left in the 3rd fraction.
In simple terms: if horse #7 has an early advantage in energy at the first call in this match-up, the horse can run one-fifth slower at the first call and one-fifth slower at the second call, which will enable this horse to run two-fifth faster for the 3rd fraction, according to the "matchup principles" of Jim Bradshaw.
It may not matter in this particular matchup since the #7 horse is in the top two of Thoromation, but there will be races where a 3rd ranked or 4th ranked horse will move up to the top two rankings based on Bradshaw's matchup principles. This principle is mute for those who are already successful in whatever programs that they are using.