[Mitch44]

Not necessarily oswaldrha. His lack of wins or places could be the result of racing too high up in class. Many horses win or run good races off of being dropped in class. Horses are sometimes forced to run under conditions that aren't favorably to them because the racing secretary doesn't card certain races at certain times.

One has to try to determine the reason for the drop. Here the long layoff after showing early speed in Aug. is suspicious.

Horse dropping and returning to a better surface or distance make sense where this one doesn't.

Pook did realize this was a suspicious dropdown and was leery which is why he posed the question. Trust your instincts and react accordingly. For me the low odds cinched it, no play as I want to be rewarded for risk or to ask a horse to do something it never did before such as a FTS.

Mitch44