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Old 01-27-2017, 07:44 AM   #14
Bill V.
The egg man
 
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Join Date: Jul 2008
Location: Carlsbad, California
Posts: 10,005
Analysis and Betting

Okay, I hope you have really looked over the race slowly
and followed my steps , so far

This is how I do every race, I also will use the RX 3 and VDC readouts
in RDSS. If my TPR analysis needs me to make final decisions.

I did not use them here cause the person who requested this race only uses phase 1


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Final analysis

The top 2 TPR horses are the 5 and 6 with 180.5 and 179.0
The 2 is close with a 178.8

There is a little gap to the next horses #7 and #4 with a 175.9 and 175

The 1 and 3 look out of it in this match up
The 1 is not in the the top 3 in EPR, or LPR
The 3 has the 3rd best LPR but based on the Fulcrum por,
The 3 looks like it will be too far back at the EP with only a 83.4


Betting I don't know what final odds were so I will use the Morning line

The best EP horse is the 7,
Based on the ml of 10/1 and I feel a improvement in the LPR is possible with the drop
It would be my first bet mm :/ but this is a neg dropper If i got 8/1 or higher I wold bet the 7
other wise I would look to the top 2 TPR horses #5 and 6

I will go check the results and post them in a while
Good skill

Bill
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