Quote:
Originally Posted by tom
I find RR and CR are very powerful, and even more predictive of winners than their SR. I consider a 2 point deficiency in RR to be very suspect, no matter what the SR>
Also, in the summary section of the Ultimate PPs, they have a column for ACL, average competive level of class.
In my current Aqu model, of 191 races, the ACL rating performed as follows:
#1 24% wins
#1,2 49% wins
#1,2,3 65% wins
|
Tom (or anyone using the BRIS PPs) - are these ACL (Average Class) figs the same ones displayed on the TwinSpires public site (see image below)?
Regardless, do you think ACL performs any better than
Prime Power? Or any better than
closing odds? Your stats seem quite similar (or a bit worse?) than either of these 2 public ratings.
If YES to the above (per your stats),
and if the numbers you used for ACL in your study are the same (rounded) as in the screenshot - that's very interesting ...
Or if anyone has today's Feb 26, 2023 Oaklawn BRIS PPs PDF file with these ACL figs and can email to me, I could answer myself.
Thanks in advance!
Ted