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Was lay thinking about this race and thought there just had to be a rational explanation. I know The Hat advised against going over past races, but I felt there was a lesson for me to learn.
I agree with Charlie in his post above. The last race for 8 was not representative. Going back to the previous race at CD we have it pressing a faster pace. Applying the 2 For 1 concept to this line & rematching has this horse getting up late to win from the 2 for me now.
Perhaps I was a little naive going that far back for an all blue paceline there when the more recent green 2:1 adjustment would have been more appropriate.
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