Pace and Cap - Sartin Methodology & The Match Up - View Single Post

The Pook · 05-06-2016, 07:54 PM

Same as worked on the Oaks. Actually I worked this yesterday before I did the Oaks. Contenders are 1,3,5,6,10,13,14,17,18,19. The fastest of these based on chosen pace lines are 13,14,17,18.

13 has a 1st in 96.3
14 has a 1st in 96.4
17 has a 3rd in 96.6
18 has a 2nd in 96.3

The 13 is the guy. 14 is close. This method from what I understand is for the win only. I think all of Hats spot plays are for win only. So the place horse may not be in the above group but it could very well be.

Once again it depends on the pace you project and then the pace lines you choose based on that pace. I eliminated horses using tandems also. Not everybody using this method will be on the same horses. 13 would have to be in everybody's mix though I would think.

But for the win not regarding odds I will be on the 13,14.

Pook

05-06-2016, 07:54 PM	#1
The Pook Grade 1 Join Date: Feb 2014 Location: Loretto, Ontario Canada Posts: 2,539	Marathon method on the Derby Same as worked on the Oaks. Actually I worked this yesterday before I did the Oaks. Contenders are 1,3,5,6,10,13,14,17,18,19. The fastest of these based on chosen pace lines are 13,14,17,18. 13 has a 1st in 96.3 14 has a 1st in 96.4 17 has a 3rd in 96.6 18 has a 2nd in 96.3 The 13 is the guy. 14 is close. This method from what I understand is for the win only. I think all of Hats spot plays are for win only. So the place horse may not be in the above group but it could very well be. Once again it depends on the pace you project and then the pace lines you choose based on that pace. I eliminated horses using tandems also. Not everybody using this method will be on the same horses. 13 would have to be in everybody's mix though I would think. But for the win not regarding odds I will be on the 13,14. Pook Last edited by The Pook; 05-06-2016 at 08:01 PM.