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Old 12-17-2013, 04:51 PM   #7
Bill V.
The egg man
 
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Join Date: Jul 2008
Location: Carlsbad, California
Posts: 10,005
Quote:
Originally Posted by borodin View Post
Bill V: Thanks for the information. Last-line-only is Pizzolla's belief, but do you yourself do the same thing differently, or does the demonstrated way work out well?
Hi yes I use the last line only..


Here is a race I just happen to be going over, when i saw your post

Here are the last lines for ever horse in the race
Race 5 June 5 2013 1 Mile CL 7.5 N2 - L
Last line for every horse

Name:  fulcrumweee.PNG
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Who qualifies ? Who comes from the fastest pace of race
and is less than 5 bl at the second call and finish ?

H1 Yes POR 48.1 and 114.3
H2 Yes POR 47.8 and 113.7
H3 No too far back at second call
H4 scratch
H5 No too far back at finish
H6 No too far back at finish
H7 Yes POR 49.8 and 115.3
H8 Na too far back at second call and finish

So Horse 2 with a time of 47.8 and 113.7 has faced the fastest pace of race from the last line
Now is this race atypically fast ?
I would say yest to being fast but #2 has run plus races against a 113.7
so I will set the Fulcrum at 113.7

Name:  Weee2.PNG
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Here is the results The fulcrum horse had no other early or EP runners in the race It was able to go wire to wire at a slow 114 POR

Name:  reesultsweek.PNG
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