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Old 03-16-2016, 12:12 AM   #9
Bill V.
The egg man
 
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Join Date: Jul 2008
Location: Carlsbad, California
Posts: 10,005
last line

Hi Mark and Chuck

The horse should and usually does show something about its current form from the last line.

The nice thing about just looking at the 3 numbers, and the patterns of the horse, is you can see when the last line might fool the public.
Also we can trip handicap,

Here is horse 7 from today's last race a MVR

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Here are the last lines for all the horses in the race.
Off the last line the top 5 are 5 2 11 7 1 (step 1 )

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Now jumping right out at me is the late energy of line 1
or ,why did it use less energy early ?

The answer is a trouble trip.

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It looks like the horse was swung wide . and then ran well to finish with its best ever LPR .

If we forgive this line and move to line 2, I can forgive it because of wrong surface (poly)
So now I go to line 3 . I already know horse 7 rates well off a trouble line
so I am happy to see it rate better off a good line.

The 7 wins at a nice price.

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