[Tim Y]

Horses Horses Horses: ONCE you pass over to the wagering side, FORGET about horses...look for mismatched probabilities. THAT is the heart of the wager. The TWO sides of the EQUATION require different disciplines:Handicapping requires innovation, insight, original approaches while the wagering side can, or should be, almost as rigidly RULE based as an accountant.

DON'T LOOK for THE WINNER, only probabilities that several could be the winner or hit the board. Wait, watch the wagering, get an idea where to go ONLY if the crowd allows your selection(s) to be underbet.

Look for races that will soak up and distribute "rookie money" over a wider base so that your odds increase. That would mean staying away from fields of 7 or less. Remember YOUR payout only comes from backed money that did not hit the board. The more horses, the wider is the distribution of monies wagered.

Find races that YOUR data supports that the crowd does not, i.e. finding a track where sustained horses win sprints for example: (Assiniboia for one).

IF the logical favorite is the best, it is a good idea to just watch, OR, if you must wager, let that choice be the KEY to exotics and ride the coat-tails of that favorite. It is often amazing the exotic payoffs when an "odds on" horse runs third.

You have to change thinking when you move over to the wagering side of the equation.