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Old 08-27-2016, 04:24 PM   #6
mick
Abiding Student
 
Join Date: May 2016
Posts: 711
My picks are #1 to WIN; #6 to WIN

For a 7-horse field, this is a difficult race.

I think the race will run EARLY without a lot of pressure. I have worked off #6's last line, adjusted for the distance. Both #1 and #6 are sharp and moving up in class after GTW wins. If the pace heats up, I expect M/L favorite #5 to win.

#3 and #7 are both dropping, but I'm not convinced of their form. The closers #2 and #4 won't have enough pace to run at.

#5 ships in from PrM and ran against FPLR. With any pace pressure, #5 should win. Otherwise, #1 and #6 will be on the lead and running modest fractions.

mick
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