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Old 03-30-2016, 10:28 AM   #26
Mitch44
Grade 1
 
Join Date: Nov 2014
Location: The Villages, Fl.
Posts: 3,706
The key to this game is picking winners regardless of what they pay. Winners are the springboard of every bet. And their easier to pick than place horses or show horses. Absolutely any horse can get the show slot in a trifecta. The match-up greatly effect these slots along with numerous other reasons and especially form.

A DD as an example is easier to hit then a Ex. or Tri. and when there isn't a rolling DD you can create your own with a parlay. Even if a horse will pay $4.80 and is legit one needs to ask;"how can I make money out of this race." And it can be done. I'm always amazed at some of the payoffs with low paying winners. Players will demand certain odds and pass a horse like this which is OK but then they'll play EX or DD combinations that will pay $7.00 and put $6 into it. Not only demand a minimum you'll take for win but also demand a minimum you'll take for DD & Ex. We don't know the payoffs for Tri. or a P-3 but generally you can get an idea from the other slots.

By the way don't wait till the last minute to do this because you need time to look at payoffs. At about 5 minutes things don't change much so you should be working on it. Heck in some races going in you can be sure of what the public will do. Such as the upcoming Fl. Derby.

Also you need to know how strong that $4.80 horse is and if it gaps your other contenders. If he doesn't gap the others or stand out then you probably should wager cap your other top 2 horses. What you don't do is go looking at non-contenders because of odds.

The average horseplayer spends probably 95% of his time picking horses and gives little if any thought to betting. It deserves much more of every players attention. The springboard to success is winners that are easily found in your top 3 TPR and many other readouts in RDSS.

Spring into action,
Mitch44
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