In looking at this race, the 5 looks like the speed. But this horse is 1 for 10 on the turf; lone win is maiden race. At 1 1/16 miles, she's beatable. She looks like she may quit on her own.
The others:
1: Might get swallowed up. Beaten badly by 5 in tandem. OUT.
2: Very deep; Doesn't move until late in race. OUT.
3: Nice move from 1st to 2nd call off layoff in last. Turf races early in 2014 very good. Contender.
4: May give 5 trouble early. OUT.
5: The horse I'm trying to beat. OUT.
6: Poor races in tandems. OUT.
7: Scratched.
8: Maiden win not impressive. Nothing since. OUT.
9: Very nice move against strong fractions in last. Contender for now.
10: OUT.
11: Scratched.
12: Might show speed. Out.
I'm left with the 3 and the 9. The 3 should be in front of the 9.
I pick the 3 to win the race.
GL
Tim
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