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The FPLR is the 7 Materiality, one of only two that ran 9 furlongs on dirt last out and while that might not mean much it was a pretty nice pace vs the rest of these.
My projected pace is 23.4-47.4-111.3-136.2 which was done at GP, btw. I see the 2 and 3 as wanna be pace setters that are weak; The 4 and 9 ran vs this early pace and finished slowly, so they are out; the 5 and 8 are NQ and out; the 6 might be a pace threat but finishes slowly, out.
This leaves the 1 and 7
1: 23.0-46.3-111.1-143.3; 6-4-3
7: 23.4-47.4-111.3-136.1-149.1: 2-2-1
The 7 can lead by two at the mile call in 136.1. While some in this field have run faster mile times all have been one turn miles. I think its possible that the 7 gets drawn too close to the lead, but look at the 1.
4 ticks faster at 1/4; 6 ticks faster at 1C; 2 faster @ 2C. If you positionally adjust this horse he wins.
My pick is the 1 on top, then the 7.
Good luck
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