Pace and Cap - Sartin Methodology & The Match Up - View Single Post

Bill Lyster · 07-10-2017, 02:26 PM

Obviously I picked the wrong leader. I thought the 8 off of internal splits of 114.6, 110.6, 113.6 and 113.8 while running 4th, 5th 6th and 3rd at the mile would be default leader from the 9 who had 3 races with 115.6, 115.7 and 115 internals. The 9's last three mile call positions were 5-3 and 1.

Field size and position for the 8 was 4th out of 5, 5th out of 6, 6th out of 12 and 2nd out of 8; for the 9 was 5th out of 8, 3rd out of 6 and 1st out of 11.

I could still argue for each of them, but I thought the slower paces experienced by the 9 was the deciding factor.

I would have had to go 4 deep to get the $40 exacta, still profitable, but not for me yesterday.

07-10-2017, 02:26 PM	#4
Bill Lyster Grade 1 Join Date: Feb 2006 Location: Escondido CA just 25 minutes from where the turf meets the surf - "...at Del Mar" Posts: 2,418	Obviously I picked the wrong leader. I thought the 8 off of internal splits of 114.6, 110.6, 113.6 and 113.8 while running 4th, 5th 6th and 3rd at the mile would be default leader from the 9 who had 3 races with 115.6, 115.7 and 115 internals. The 9's last three mile call positions were 5-3 and 1. Field size and position for the 8 was 4th out of 5, 5th out of 6, 6th out of 12 and 2nd out of 8; for the 9 was 5th out of 8, 3rd out of 6 and 1st out of 11. I could still argue for each of them, but I thought the slower paces experienced by the 9 was the deciding factor. I would have had to go 4 deep to get the $40 exacta, still profitable, but not for me yesterday.