Haw0422R5pp.pdf
The 5th race from Hawthorne on April 22'nd has a horse that gave me trouble. The 6 is scratched so there are only 5 horses running. If anyone could provide a rundown of the race it would be appreciated.
My thinking on the race:
The projected pace I used was from the 5's last race 22.96 46.27 1:10.29. The only horse I could find that was competitive at that pace was the 1 who also was the fastest pace of last race at 22.82 and 46.60. When looking at the 1 I saw the 2nd race back he was fighting for the first 2 calls against a pace of 22.16 44.98 before pulling away to almost a two length lead in 1:09.56. I don't see another horse capable of that. From that I would project the 1 as going wire to wire.