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Needless to say, this is a tough race.
It looks like the 11, 12, and 13 will vie for the lead. The 12 and 13 look like they can cut a 21.4 so I'm going to use the SA sprint championship as the projected pace:
21.4 44.1 55.2 1:07.3
I think the horse will go OTE.
Here are the notables in the field I think have a chance:
4: Contender off sprint championship. Good power moves.
6: Last at 1st call in only north american race. Tracker in Europe. Contender.
8: Mid position S type 3 and 5 races back. SAR and BEL are a little slower. Huge internal fractions. Contender.
10: Too early
11: Too early. No fight.
14: Way back.
I'm going to pick 2 horses here. Will toss the 4. He won it last year and may be the favorite. Will use the 6 and 8 with the caveat that the 3 might do something off very fast 5f grass races in Europe.
Tim
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