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Old 05-28-2014, 04:19 PM   #1
Bill V.
The egg man
 
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Join Date: Jul 2008
Location: Carlsbad, California
Posts: 10,005
Entropy-Thoromation demo

Race 9 Parx 5/27/14

Here is a race demo using Entropy phase 1 and Thoromation
The distance of this race is 8.3 furlongs the track was fast
here are my pace lines and contenders

Name:  Plines.PNG
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I have 2 lines for horse 2. Line 1 is better on total energy
Line 1 has the line as sustained energy and Line 2 as early energy.
My Parx 8.3 distance model says favor E or EP energy on the whole but my model show a strong swing to sus and sp lately
13 out of my last 20 races and 12 of the last 16 have been won by OTE energy So I will look close at horse 2 and 3.

POR is the average pace of race for the winner of the last two years at Parx for horses going 8.3 furlongs.

I don't use the auto projector if all the horses run routes in these 8.3 distance races.
The reason is the auto projector changes every horse to a 8.5 distance
They run very few 8.5 distance races at Parx compared to 8.0 and 8.3
or 1 mile 70 yards .
These are better routes as the POR total energy is 155.68
and all these are higher than Par

Now I will check the phase 1 readouts

Name:  Phase 1.PNG
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Line 1 for horse 2 is the better line on TPR
I will take out line 2. Now I also will get rid of the POR as I can see these horses are better than par.

Name:  Into Thoro.PNG
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Now I have only 4 horses Thoromation works best with 3 or 4 horses
I usually have 5 or 6 horses after phase 1
There are deceleration pars that can be kept to eliminate that 5th horse
but we don't need to do that here.

Next I will show thoromation



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