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Here is my spreadsheet. Miles are calculated from 9f time less 2 x 6.4 seconds with beaten lengths adjusted at 5L = 1 sec. If the race was 8.5 furlongs the beaten lengths are added and then 6.4 seconds deducted.
Each running style is sorted by best mile time. Note, no top 15 times appear in the SP category. SS = sustained. Also note that more than one E or EP type has multiple best miles in the top 15 and sometimes the top 5.
Just to the left of the Finish Position is a column labeled "Pos". I gave one point for every position gained between 1/4 - 1/2 call and 1 pt for each position gained between 1/2 and 3/4 call and 2 pts for every position gained between 3/4 and stretch call.
In the Lengths Back section to the right of the finish lengths beaten is column "L+". I gave points for lengths gained on the same basis as for "Pos", so I could compare horses that gained BOTH position and lengths at these calls. You will see horses that gained position but lost lengths - I don't like that very much.
To the right of "L+" is an unlabeled column that simply adds values in the Pos and L+ columns. the farther from the lead that a horse runs the larger number it needs to overcome the pace, positioning and lengths behind. I would consider for further consideration only the best horses in each positional running category, so I like the Pressers Danza and Ride on Curlin with 8+ figures better than most of the SP runners. But I took it a bit further.
The lines marked in Dark Red are for horses that ran against a 3/4 time of 112 or better WHICH ALSO HAVE A POSITIVE "Pos + L+" total. I cannot imagine this Derby run in anything so slow as 112 unless its muddy.
To me Wicked Strong looks like the best closer if Calif Chrome enters a speed duel.
these are close but not my final selections.
Good luck,
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