Quote:
Originally Posted by barryt
Hi Viikinki
Tx for the responses. I had previously done the7th race at Aqi and I used a paceline NOV 22 of #7 for the 1c and 2c and this gave me the 7 as a contender along with the 1 even money.
after your response,I re-read page 26 and the key words "has the lead" at the 2 nd call. Doing that eliminated #7 as a contender and left just the 1 who won easily.($4) and the 7 ran last..
In your 40 races do you go back and change the paceline to" get" the winner. I think I should keep the "wrong"paceline and Learn from my mistake for future analysis.
Wrt40 races, it's been my experience to do batches of 10. See how you did ,make corrections to your premises/analysis. And start fresh on another until you have 20 consecutive "good " ones. that way the - ve Roi in the beginning does drag down any subsequent successes.
Tx once agin. Your response, while not containing the answer pointed me right where to go to find that answer.
Barryt
PS
Is it me, but I find sprints much easi"er than routes. Do you have a preference.
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Sprints are definitely easier. I dont know why.
Yes, I have a bad habit going back and trying to get the winner after the fact although match-up guru RichieP said NEVER EVER DO THAT! He said we should only look for races we WON and learn the patterns from there.
Nice hit! I didnt play that race. I found a lone early from Aqu R5 Pegasus Diamond and played that. He went to the lead, won easily and gave 10/1 on Betfair
No idea how the public didn't get that.
I (we!) SHOULD play only these "easy" races (lone early, dominant early, 3 earlies -> presser wins) but now when I am learning, I just play bunch of races, usually like every race if I have the time. Not a good strategy but maybe I learn faster.
I still have trouble knowing when the leader can go wire-to-wire. Sometimes it seems so obvious he can but then fails. Horse racing is hard because the variance is so high. You can make a good bet but still lose. This can really slow your progress not knowing whether you made a mistake or not.