Hello Late Kick
From your email
Quote:
Saratoga Race 1 July 29th.
I highlighted the line i used the question is Horse # 4 , COULD i have gone 2 back and used his best line even though it was a MC25k?
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My thoughts
I would not have gone back to line 2. The race you are asking about is a
CL 30 non winners of two life. The last line is a plus + paceline against
winners. This is the line. The distance and track DEL are a slight issue, but going back over 289 days is a bigger question mark, and its only a MC 25 race. A good practice is to do what Doc says he did.. Stick a note on your computer monitor or screen that says "Is this line comparable to today's race, distance, surface or competition level." and ask this for each horse as you pick lines.
Its acceptable to use maiden wins in non winners of two lifetime races.
But its also a good rule of thumb to rate a maiden claimer at 1/2 of its maiden claiming win value. So I would expect horse 4 to be a 12.5 - 15,000 claimer down the road.
Here is the RDSS paceline screen for your horse
Here is the winner of the race
The winner shows two plus races against winners, Its last line was a plus race against winners at this same level farther down it shows a plus line in an allowance race, This is the horse you have to beat.
Its best if you use plus lines earned against winners in non winner of two
lifetime races.
