Pace and Cap - Sartin Methodology & The Match Up - View Single Post

Bill Lyster · 07-28-2013, 02:58 PM

Power Broker is pace of race: 23.1-46.3-111.1-148 (times are in fifths-last race extended to 9F +6.2 + 141.3 = 148.0)

PB fought for early in last, could get challenged by the 2 and 5 at 6f point, but PB is faster than 2; PM the 5 can get lead at 6f, but mile time and finish time look like he cannot power past PB. I think those two lock horns Golden Soul wins. Verrazano can't press off recent at this pace; he might press off one turn mile at GP earlier this year, but if that happens then you have the 2, 4, 5 and 7 all at each others necks around 6f - 7 f mark in this race.

I went back to the Derby chart for Golden Soul info. If PB withstands the pace my exacta is GS and PB.

Good handicapping.

07-28-2013, 02:58 PM	#7
Bill Lyster Grade 1 Join Date: Feb 2006 Location: Escondido CA just 25 minutes from where the turf meets the surf - "...at Del Mar" Posts: 2,500	This race via matchup Power Broker is pace of race: 23.1-46.3-111.1-148 (times are in fifths-last race extended to 9F +6.2 + 141.3 = 148.0) PB fought for early in last, could get challenged by the 2 and 5 at 6f point, but PB is faster than 2; PM the 5 can get lead at 6f, but mile time and finish time look like he cannot power past PB. I think those two lock horns Golden Soul wins. Verrazano can't press off recent at this pace; he might press off one turn mile at GP earlier this year, but if that happens then you have the 2, 4, 5 and 7 all at each others necks around 6f - 7 f mark in this race. I went back to the Derby chart for Golden Soul info. If PB withstands the pace my exacta is GS and PB. Good handicapping.