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Pace Makes The Race
Great post and helpful replies to all
My contenders are the horses I think can win the race.
Before I select pace lines, I eliminate some horses.
based on form, poor TPR numbers, poor adjusted speed ratings, poor APV
and too early or too late on the early late graph.
I only bet for win so I throw out many horses who can come in second !!
That is why I don't play exactas.
This is the contender selection method I use
I then get my top contenders during the pace line selection step
I use a combination of what I have learned from FTL's lessons,
Doc's "best of last 3" at a comparable distance, surface and competition level
and the pace line chapter in the book Pace Makes The Race ( original version ).
I always start with the last ( most recent ) pace line If it fits what I am looking for I use it,
If not I asked myself why can I excuse it. If I can I look at the next line I very rarely go past the 3rd pace line .
Bill
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