Pace and Cap - Sartin Methodology & The Match Up - View Single Post

Lt1 · 07-26-2013, 03:32 PM

FTL you are correct with the 2 unknown factors to pass race That's right from the Doc. Yesterdays race was interesting to say the least. If one looked at the 4 as a contender you would see that the trainer wins 27% of the time with these types. The horse had raced on the grass twice with a win and a place and had been working out on a regular basis. Assuming he was returning from an injury he also had time to mature and grow. There were no world beaters in the race and if the trainer who is an excellent one felt his horse needed a race he could have found an easier non 2 spot to bring him back in. If nothing else I would have left the horse in for ex purposes.

07-26-2013, 03:32 PM	#6
Lt1 Grade 1 Join Date: Apr 2012 Location: Valley Stream NY Posts: 11,371	FTL you are correct with the 2 unknown factors to pass race That's right from the Doc. Yesterdays race was interesting to say the least. If one looked at the 4 as a contender you would see that the trainer wins 27% of the time with these types. The horse had raced on the grass twice with a win and a place and had been working out on a regular basis. Assuming he was returning from an injury he also had time to mature and grow. There were no world beaters in the race and if the trainer who is an excellent one felt his horse needed a race he could have found an easier non 2 spot to bring him back in. If nothing else I would have left the horse in for ex purposes.