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Thanks LS-
In this race I see the 3,4 and 6 as the main earlies. Not sure what the heck happened to the 9 in its last race. Prior to that it had run early but it still looks a bit slower at the 1C (22.4’s vs 22.2 or 22.3).
Looking at the tandem from 2/23, the 6 and 4 fought to the stretch before the 5 came on and passed them. Now today adding in the 3 horse who looks similarly fast and likes to fight, I felt OTE was the way to go. Projected pace 22.1 46.1. Preferably a horse will show it can run OTE against that pace from 4th or further back.
The 5 is a contender off of the tandem-best finisher performance. This one has run its best from third position though:
Last race: 22.1 46.1 104.4 3-3-3-2
The 7 can run well against today’s pace. This one has finished second from 5th/6th position against similar paces (22.2’s and a 21.4). So even though its lone win came from 3rd position I see this one as a good positional fit for this race.
The pace of race in line 7 matches today’s pace the closest:
22.2 46.1 58.1 (104.3) 3-3-1-1
Line 5 is the power line though….
21.4 45.0 104.0 6-6-3-2
The 10 made nice move in the last race but his best running has been from 1st 2nd or 3rd.
Last race: 22.2 46.2 105.2 3-1-4-3
Not enough to overpower the 7 or 5 IMO.
To me the race is between the 7 and the 5.
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