Pace and Cap - Sartin Methodology & The Match Up - View Single Post - Saturday 3/16

PeteC · 03-16-2013, 08:43 AM

Running Styles

1: P/S
2: E/P
3: Pre
4: Ear 21.4 45.1
5: Ear – needs clear lead.21.3 44.0
6: Sus
7: Ear – won against 22.1 44.4 but can be on the lead in 21.4 44.3
8: P/S

Match-Up

I’m projecting 21.3 off of #5’s last race. I start by matching 1 vs 2. The 1 has been competitive against similar paces (Lines 3 and 4) but the 2 has not, he’s out.

The 3 has also made good moves against today’s pace when looking at the stretch call of longer races (Lines 1,2,9,10)…Contender

The 4 has defeated the pace-setting 5 twice, but I feel this one will be compromised by being part of the early pace…OUT

The 5 is sure fast but anytime it has had to fight 1C or 2C it has not won. That is what I see today with the presence of the 4 and 7…OUT

The 6 comes from too far back against today’s pace…OUT

The 7 should be up against after trying hard to fight the 5…OUT

8 Looks slow against today’s pace…OUT

I give a slight edge to the 1 over the 3 but hopefully can bet both.

03-16-2013, 08:43 AM	#3
PeteC Grade 1 Join Date: Dec 2007 Posts: 611	Tup Race 7 Running Styles 1: P/S 2: E/P 3: Pre 4: Ear 21.4 45.1 5: Ear – needs clear lead.21.3 44.0 6: Sus 7: Ear – won against 22.1 44.4 but can be on the lead in 21.4 44.3 8: P/S Match-Up I’m projecting 21.3 off of #5’s last race. I start by matching 1 vs 2. The 1 has been competitive against similar paces (Lines 3 and 4) but the 2 has not, he’s out. The 3 has also made good moves against today’s pace when looking at the stretch call of longer races (Lines 1,2,9,10)…Contender The 4 has defeated the pace-setting 5 twice, but I feel this one will be compromised by being part of the early pace…OUT The 5 is sure fast but anytime it has had to fight 1C or 2C it has not won. That is what I see today with the presence of the 4 and 7…OUT The 6 comes from too far back against today’s pace…OUT The 7 should be up against after trying hard to fight the 5…OUT 8 Looks slow against today’s pace…OUT I give a slight edge to the 1 over the 3 but hopefully can bet both.