Thread: PRX 9th 3.2.13
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Old 03-03-2013, 08:45 PM   #2
For The Lead
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Join Date: Nov 2008
Posts: 1,292
PRX 9th 3.2.13 con't

the #5 horse has a big red caution flag. It was claimed at AQU for $15,000 and now it is running right back for $7,500. Would you buy a car for $15,000 and offer it for sale for $7,500 2 months later? Not only that, but look at the horses last three races. I don't see anything that gets me excited. Sure, the 3rd line back the horse lost by only 1.1 lengths, but how about the races in line 1 and line 2? What would make you think this horse would run back to that line 3 race, even if the race did qualify? And by the way, its' lifetime record of 2 for 21 isn't exactly setting the world on fire. Nope, this horse is OUT.
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the #6 horse is pretty straight forward. It doesn't have a real good lifetime record at 2 for 23. Its' last 3 races are horrible. There is no reason to go back to line 4 for a good line. What would make you think the horse is prepared to run back to that line? And the big class drop is also suspect. This horse is OUT.
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the #7 horse has 3 routes in its' last 5 races and the two sprint race aren't very encouraging. Its' lifetime record of 2 for 20 isn't real exciting either. There is no way I would go back 145 days to line 6 for a line. I will ask again, what makes you think this horse is ready to run back to that line based on its' recent performance?? This horse is OUT.

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the #8 horse has the best lifetime record we have seen so far at 2 for 10. Unlike some of the other horses in this race, this guy doesn't appear to have "health issues". All ten lifetime races are showing. The oldest race is 216 days old. If you just average the time between races, this horse is racing every 21 days, ON AVERAGE. The thing to note here is this. This horses first 7 races were all at 6f, 6.5f or 7f and mostly 7f, just like today's race. I look at the route race as a "training" race or, perhaps, a "let's see what he can do" race. Then it was right back to a 6f race where it race second. At the outset I mentioned "GOOD REASONS" to go back a line, so I will ask this. Why was this horse in a 5f race last time out? This horse demonstrates that it prefers the longer sprint races. Was this a "training race"? I took it that way, just like the route race. This horse is a contender off of line 2 from just 46 days ago.
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