Pace and Cap - Sartin Methodology & The Match Up - View Single Post

DaveEdwards · 12-31-2012, 06:24 AM

Hi FTL (got it right this time!)

There is an interesting split between the three main contenders in terms of EPR, LPR & CPR, with each one presumably better suited than the other to different track conditions.

With this race were you taking into account the track profile? If so this leads onto my main question, depending on the prevailing conditions what would your thoughts be on when to change between a horse based on their profile.

Just to clarify as an example:
Horse A (strong EPR) is superior to Horse B (strong LPR) by say 10 lengths, but the track is running sustained. Horse A is still able to win due to it's superiority.

Horse C (strong EPR) is superior to Horse D (strong LPR) by say 3 lengths, and as above the track is running sustained. Now a trickier proposition.

Hope this is clear, if not please let me know & I'll do it again!

I notice you actually hit the trifecta with your contenders too!

Thanks.

12-31-2012, 06:24 AM	#38
DaveEdwards Grade 1 Join Date: Nov 2008 Location: England Posts: 500	Linking this to the Track Profile Thread Hi FTL (got it right this time!) There is an interesting split between the three main contenders in terms of EPR, LPR & CPR, with each one presumably better suited than the other to different track conditions. With this race were you taking into account the track profile? If so this leads onto my main question, depending on the prevailing conditions what would your thoughts be on when to change between a horse based on their profile. Just to clarify as an example: Horse A (strong EPR) is superior to Horse B (strong LPR) by say 10 lengths, but the track is running sustained. Horse A is still able to win due to it's superiority. Horse C (strong EPR) is superior to Horse D (strong LPR) by say 3 lengths, and as above the track is running sustained. Now a trickier proposition. Hope this is clear, if not please let me know & I'll do it again! I notice you actually hit the trifecta with your contenders too! Thanks.