KNOWLEDGE!
There is more to winning races than entering lines and reading printouts.
However, when you couple KNOWLEDGE with “good” information provided by handicapping aides, i.e. computer programs, they make a formidable foe in the war on pari-mutual pools.
Supposed you were offered “half” your bet back after each losing race? Is there anyone reading this who would refuse this offer? I didn’t think so.
Now, suppose you could get 100% of your bet back? Is that even possible? That’s crazy! Why am I even talking about it?
Do you remember those races where you “hid”, or “threw out” the favorite, just because it WAS the favorite and then got beat by that favorite?
Suppose you never bet the race. Wouldn’t you be ahead the amount of the bet you made? Wouldn’t that bet amount still be a part of your bankroll?
Maybe it’s time to get some KNOWLEDGE. Maybe it’s time to LEARN how to avoid betting against these favorites. Some favorites are beatable, others ARE NOT. I’m going to give you two examples.
The first comes from today’s 4th race at Laurel. Bill V sent the race to me and asked me to look at it. Naturally, as is my custom, the first thing I did was “read the conditions”. Reading the conditions tells you the type of horses that are entered in the race. Once I read the conditions, it was clear what I wanted to look for. I may not have found it, but you have to LOOK. Here, I’ll let you read what I told Bill.
Here’s the result.
Once you understand this condition and the horses found in the race, you have 3 options.
1 – bet the favorite (no value, but it’s up to you)
2 – bet against the favorite (not advisable)
3 – PASS the race (encouraged)
The next race is the 1st at Remington Park from last night.
Again, Bill V asked me to take a look at this race. Here’s what I said.
I would add to the above, you have to have “knowledge” that an early horse like this, with the class and early advantage it has in this race, is NOT going to be backing up 13 lengths in the stretch. In fact, it will probably be drawing away in the stretch. Your only pre-race concern should be the health of the horse. Many would call this a “negative” class drop. Either way, PASSING the race would be the best option, rather than just “hiding” it (throwing it out) just because it si the favorite.
Here's the result.
Having knowledge saves you two bets in these examples. There are many more. YOU have to LEARN how to know if the favorite you are about to throw out (hide) is actually capable of winning the race…or not.
KNOWLEDGE helps create DISCIPLINE.