Quote:
Originally Posted by Bill V.
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There is no doubt in my mind that based on "time" you isolated on the #3 and #9 as the two dominant early horses correctly.
Having said that, the #3 is the more consistent early horse at the first call and therefore likely to "get the jump" on the #9 horse.
One last thing to note is, the #3 holds a class edge over the #9. Just compare the last 5 races for each horse. I think the comparison should tell the tale.
Also, I have attached the chart of the race and noted the comment on the #9. It says the horse checked at the start. If this is accurate, it is all the #3 horse would need in order to gain an advantageous lead over the #9.
In the end, some of this is there to see pre-race, while the unforeseen start could not be known until post-race. I think there was enough to see pre-race to logically conclude the #3 was the better early horse.
As to whether the #3 would be good enough to win or not? That is up to the handicapper.