Pace and Cap - Sartin Methodology & The Match Up - View Single Post

Ted Craven · 04-07-2012, 11:35 AM

Agreed. Subject to standard caveats: sometimes too little info to really know horse's abilities - young horses may be improving; some horses don't know if they want to win (or if beating most of the field is OK for them - given current competition the humans have selected). Maiden races probably have horses trying more new things for the first time (new distances, new surfaces, new competition levels) and so there are more unknowns.

More chaos = better mutuels. It is your choice (and your records, and type of wager pools favoured) to spend more or less time working workable maiden races. But it can be exciting!

Ted

04-07-2012, 11:35 AM	#3
Ted Craven Grade 1 Join Date: Jun 2005 Location: Nanaimo, British Columbia, Canada Posts: 9,241	Agreed. Subject to standard caveats: sometimes too little info to really know horse's abilities - young horses may be improving; some horses don't know if they want to win (or if beating most of the field is OK for them - given current competition the humans have selected). Maiden races probably have horses trying more new things for the first time (new distances, new surfaces, new competition levels) and so there are more unknowns. More chaos = better mutuels. It is your choice (and your records, and type of wager pools favoured) to spend more or less time working workable maiden races. But it can be exciting! Ted __________________ RDSS - Racing Decision Support System™ Last edited by Ted Craven; 04-07-2012 at 12:06 PM.