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RACE 6:
#1 is scratched.
7 cant win off ever slower fractions and should be pushed by 5 who only once failed to have clear lead at first call.
Est pace = 23-46.2-58.2; race goes OTE
#2: Discounting the slop win last out when it inherited lead, this horse has several 4-3-1 or similar finishes and is that much more potent having shown a win on the lead; probably presses here and gets first run.
3 too sustained, out
4 could close this pace off turf form; last at distance on this track still makes this one a late threat, but not good enuf;
6 failed this pace the last two outtings
8 runs from 5th, usually closes on this pace; exits much faster last race.
My choices are the 2 and 8
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