[For The Lead]

Bill put up a good post in analyzing this race. One of the things he used was the EPR, FFR, TPR (or CPR, whichever you prefer) along with E/L. He did this in an effort to condense the information. I thought I would condense it even further and use the information he posted. Here is the information taken from the lines used. The only addition I made was the #6 horse using line 2.

For those who may not be familiar with how to use this, the idea is this, the “contenders” for win are the top TPR horse and any other horse within 5 points of the top TPR horse. So in this race, the top horse has a TPR of 168.0, so any horse within 5 points of that number would qualify. In addition, any horse NOT within 5 points of the top TPR horse, but ranked either 1st or 2nd for EPR or FFR are also "contenders".

Here’s what it would look like. I put a ‘line space’ separating the top TPR horse and those within 5 points of it from the others. As it turn out, in this race the top TPR horses also make up the 1st and 2nd ranked EPR and FFR horses.

I know it doesn't line up exactly, but you'll get the idea.


H# EPR (R) FFR (R) TPR E/L Line# Used

#2 - 88.4 (2) 79.6 (2) 168.0 8.8.... 2
#1 - 90.0 (1) 76.7 (3) 166.7 13.3.... 1
#5 - 85.3 (4) 80.4 (1) 165.7 4.9...... 1

#6 - 88.3 (3) 73.4 (5) 161.7 14.6..... 2
#7 - 86.5 (5) 75.2 (4) 161.7 11.3..... 3