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Jeff:
I would love to know how far the race is going. Looks like it is probably 6f.
I do not think I am particularly astute at handicapping, but I will give you my comments. There is a very good chance that Image will be a non-contender in the race. Why?
1. He will be substantially behind the leaders and 2nd call advantage is not that strong. That means he will have a lot of horses to pass to get to the lead.
2. He is not even the best 2nd fraction horse. That means he will likely need to make his move on the turn. Horses coming from behind that are strong 3rd fraction only horses frequently go wide, lose their momentum on the turn and hang.
3. SC B/L shows him very far back and still reasonably out of contention, at least at that point.
4. 3rd fraction is not even that strong. The earlier horses will be able to "coast" on their speed. Image will have to work hard to come from behind. I doubt it.
One last thought - all of the above is based on the assumption of good pace line selection - which I am sure you did a very good job.
Gary
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