Bill V.
Hi Bill
I see the horse you named late has a crazy %med number like 75

and I see 3 others over 70 %
To me if those are representative pacelines Thats all I need to
see to tell me the pace will be crazy fast
also the e/l sticks will be big on the early side
Thats how judge the pace of race
GS
Bill
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I guess we all have different interpretations and approaches to a given race.
Yours seems to be a more generalized approach. I believe mine is more mathematically precise. However, I have no fault with what you do.
As far as the "sticks" are concerned, they will not show you that an early horse can also be the best sustained horse and can actually be misleading.