[For The Lead]

Here is my post mortem. The usual "disclaimer" applies.

First, a word about the condition of the race.
To be eligible for this race, a horse needed to have started in a race for $8,000 OR LESS anytime in 2010 or 2011.

#1 - last line is a win 22 days ago at a similar distance and surface, no reason to go back
#2 - Last race was a good race on the lead and finished 3rd within 1 length just 10 days ago on the same track at a similar distance, there is no reason to go back
#3 - Last race was was a win on the same track and similar distance 19 days ago, there is no reason to go back.
#4 - last line is the line although the horse finished out of the money and beaten more than 9 lengths, the race was on the same track and at the same distance 55 days ago, the last line is the only race in the last 90 days so there is no reason to go back, the horse appears to be a part of the early pace scenario and I want that to be included in the software so the software gets a clear pace picture
#5 - SCR
#6 - Line 2 is the line since line 1 was on the turf, it is a win on the same track at a similar distance 52 days ago and the horse has had a race since then so there is no reason to go back, but I have issues with this horse, in its' last race it won an overnight Stakes race at the state bred level for a purse of $75,000, the general thought is that state bred race artificially increase a horses earnings by approximately 20%, so even if you reduce the purse by 20% it still would be equal to an 'OPEN' $60,000 purse, why is this horse in here for a $32,000 purse?, it seems "too" easy. I understand it is "eligible" but if a horse is on the "improve" it should move UP not DOWN, I am very leery of this horse regardless of how the software shows it.
#7 - line 2 is the line since the last race was a sprint race, it is a good 2nd on the same track at a similar distance 10 days ago, there is no reason to go back
#8 - you're kidding, right? NO LINE!!

The software shows this as a very tight race as you will see in the screen shots below. The software calls for the "sustained" horse as the projected winner. In this case there is a tie between #1 and #2.
Remember that #4 horse? The one with the "questionable" line? Check him out in the screen shots. He ends up being the "energizer" and ranks quite well.
With the ENERGY software, projected winners are NOT based on TOTAL ENERGY (TE), but rather, the winners are projected on the basis of the "match up". That is the reason the #4 horse (or any horse like that) gets entered into the program. Your job is to show the software the "WHOLE" race, from beginning to end, then let the software figure it out. Sometimes it works out well and other times, not so much. The old story is, if you have in the right horses and lines, the software will get it right.