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Old 11-08-2011, 06:56 PM   #9
alydar_ David
Grade 1
 
Join Date: Jun 2005
Posts: 2,654
A few thoughts.

First, Mark Cramer said he'd rather use any line other than the last race. His rationale was the horse just ran that race and is not likely to repeat it.

Barry Burkin recommended using a paceline from about the same amount of layoff time and the same class as the layoff.

Personally, I have to see some indication that the horse might fire on the turf. Some of those not so obvious signs might be:

* Layoff from November to spring, two or three bad dirt races, then turf today.

* Layoff, one grass race five or six lengths worse than his good turf race, then turf today.

If either of those conditions exits I have no problem using the "Way back machine."

But I won't just automatically take the horse's best turf race in his past performances simply because he's running on the lawn today.

Ernie and I talked about this at Gulfstream. He's of a different school of thought. That's cool.

:>)
alydar_ David is offline   Reply With Quote