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That's a question I struggle with myself. I don't have any hard set rules as I am admittedly still a neophyte, but I usually consider form and class to determine if Turf ability is transferable or not. Also, check if the horse has had some workouts on the new/switched surface and see if it likes it.
If there are too many horses under similar circumstances in the same race, I'd probably just pass the race as there are too many unknowns to reconcile.
Just my 2 cents.
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