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More research from a data base of old races. Here's what I have so far:
#races: 474
wins: 345
Exactas: 244
Trifectas: 135
haven't recorded all the payouts so no ROI yet.
If the contenders were labeled E1-best early; E2-2nd best, etc. I would get;
E1 - 106
E2 - 73
L1 - 86
L2 - 80
The highest early contender (RR) finished as follows:
1st: 75 - of these 26 had early advantage % of 62 or greater
2nd: 82 - of these 17 had early advantage % of 62 or greater
3rd: 50 - of these 14 had early advantage % of 62 or greater
4th: 46 - of these 9 had early advantage % of 62 or greater
Off the board: 217 - of these 41 had early advantage % of 62 or greater
total: 470 - - - - - 107
(total sample is 4 short)
62% representd a Dominant early horse in the Early/Late terminology, but these statistics developed over a sample of 12 tracks don't seem to bear this out. conversely the highest early horse only hits somewhere in the top three places 43% in my sample study. I am not finding anything remarkable about the horse with the RR label except that it WONT hit the board 57% of the time and only WINS 16% of the time.
Best regards,
Bill
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