Quote:
Originally Posted by Bill Lyster
I am starting to see patterns in some of the data gained from the use of E/L 2.0
I listed the choices as E1, E2, L1 and L2. In 34 races at Woodbine last year (I used the database cards from September) the results were 8-8-4-4 which might indicated an early bias or just not enough data.
I also did 91 races from last summer at DMR and SAR and threw in a few current ones from SA.
In 91 races the results were 25-8-20-14 which again could be a limited data thing, but it could also mean that the logic for labeling the #2 E horse might need some revision.
I would expect #1s to win more than #2s and so 45 of the 91 races were won by either the #1 E or L horse.
Still a work in progress. I am seeing many exactas - just over 50% and 25% trifectas. Of course its all on paper so far. My thoughts are to look at playing exactas, trifectas and even supers (the 10c kind). I figure that if you can hit 25% trifectas with 4 horses, just hit the all button for the 4th slot for the supers (in a 10 horse field with 4 horses in the first three spots, the remaining horses can be covered for 8 or 9 bucks! Just a thought.)
Looking forward to reading about other finds or nuances from others....
Bill
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Hello Bill,
I have been reworking the races that were posted theu RDSS such as Parx 4/11 and GP
4/10 as I have no access to the automated process. I only ran 17 races at this point.
Currently I am experimenting with merging the best contenders from RDSS with those contenders from 2.0 E/L.
For example:
I first run RDSS without reference to E/L 2.0. I then compare to E1, E2, L1 and L2 and try to eliminate as many contenders from RDSS 2.0 E/L as I can.
Usually at least 3 contenders (many times all 4 2.0 contenders match) match between RDSS and 2.0 E/L. I then use the best RDSS contender that is not listed in 2.0 E/L or conversley the best 2.0 E/L contender that is not in the top 5 of RDSS. I enter the 2.0 E/L contender in RDSS and make a judgement whether to keep or toss. Based on the limited data I am having good results with trifectas when 3-4 contenders match or I can use a strong RDSS contender. when 3 contenders match. Or I can eliminate two 2.0 contenders and hook them with 2 RDSS contenders. Anyway it is fun doing this and if it could
lead to better profits...great !
Can you clarify what you mean by 8-8-4-4 and 25-8-20-14 ???? as I am not understanding what you have posted. (I hope it is clear what I have written)
Thanks,
Ernie