Quote:
Originally Posted by pktruckdriver
I guess some tracks are easy enough to choose, like
Delaware
Tampa
Woodbine
But what the smaller ones, are they worth looking at, like
PID
PM
AlB
any Louisiana tracks
Just wondering how this may be to you or maybe why it does not work ?
Thanks
Patrick
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The best tracks to play have nothing to do with whether or not they are "big, small or in between". The length of the meet is the determining factor. In other words, tracks like Woodbine, Penn National, Philadelphia Park, Mountaineer Park and Charles Town. The tracks with short meets such as Del Mar and Saratoga are the worst. The reason on BOTH counts is summed up in two words, RECORD KEEPING".
Track profiling records and decision models should be well defined. In other words, keeping these records on the basis of just distance and surface is not enough.
These records should be kept not just by distance and surface, but also but sex and class. So, both records should be kept in the following way.
Maiden claiming
Maiden Special Weights
Claiming races
Allowance races
Starter Allowance races
Handicap races
Stakes races
In
every classification, these records should be kept by distance, surface and sex
With maiden claiming races, you can split these records into groups based on claiming price if you so desire.
With maiden special weights, they are pretty much straight forward
Handicap and stakes races are straight forward
That brings us to claiming, allowance and starter allowance races.
In claiming races, in addition to distance, surface, sex and the wide range of claiming prices, there are "conditions". If you don't know what they are, here is a partial list.
NW2L - non winners of two races lifetime
NW3L - " " " three " "
NW4L - " " " four " "
NW16M - " " of one race in the last six months
NW26M - " " " two " " " " " "
There are many more and you would be amazed at how different each of these can be.
The same thing holds true for Allowance races. Some of the condition possibilities are:
NW2L
NW1X
NW1$X
And there are many others. And, an allowance race is an allowance race is an allowance race IS NOT TRUE. There is a world of difference between an Allowance race for NW2L and an Allowance race for NW3$X.
And Starter Allowance races can be the same way.
When records are kept in this fashion, a 4 week meet or a 6 week meet just don't get it! There simply isn't enough time/races to build a profile or model that is meaningful in any way.