Thread: Louisiana Derby
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Old 03-27-2010, 04:44 PM   #4
Charlie D
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Join Date: May 2008
Posts: 2,105
Right or wrong

Pace - Line 5 Wow Wow Wow.


Horses that have run at FG

#1 slow - OUT
#6 slow - OUT
#7 slow - OUT
#8 slow - OUT
#9 slow - OUT
#11 slow - OUT
#13 slow -OUT




#5 beats #2 on thier GP Match up,#2 also beaten at all distances except 4.5f

#2 - OUT

Leaves me 3,4, 5, 10, 12


Question.

Can #10 get an unconstested lead with open lengths and wire here?? i doubt it - OUT


3,4,5,12


#4 The Program, (got to take a stand here) although ML odds are not too bad, i'm not keen on betting horses doing something for the first time unless i think odds warrant a little interest, also, i'm thinking if this horse can't win Sham he needs a lot of help to win here - OUT


Right, so we are left with #3,#5, #12,. I think we have an OTE race and i think i'm looking for horses that can sit around 4th, 5th, 6th against the liikely good fractions set by #10


#5 stretching looks interesting, but ML odds of 4-1 are unpealling - OUT.


Contenders - #3 and #12, preference for former, latter minmum interest

Apologies if post comes across weird, but i'm using my "Minds Eye" and then posting what i see.





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Last edited by Charlie D; 03-27-2010 at 05:01 PM.
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