Pace and Cap - Sartin Methodology & The Match Up - View Single Post

chris · 01-10-2010, 11:39 AM

Is this the one your friend bet?

From my Twinspires account:

2010-01-09 09:29:51 Bet* Aqueduct 1 Trifecta $1.00 2+3+9/10/1+2+3+5+9 $12.00 $869.50
2010-01-09 09:30:19 Bet* Aqueduct 1 Win $2.00 2+9 $4.00 $20.80

However in my case Total Energy wasn't the determinate. A questionable favorite and a horse who loves to hang pointed me in this direction. The favorite was out of the money, the hangar hung, and held for 2nd, the 9-1 horse won, and my other win bet, at 67-1, ran third. Made for a nice trifecta.

This is a case of the race informing the bet; didn't know who was going to win but was reasonably sure who wasn't, and had a strong sense of who was going to run second.

Rdss (Val 4) confirmed my choices, more rather than less, and so I went ahead. Don't remember how the horses were ranked/tiered, but don't have to because this exact race, with these combatants, at this distance, under these weather conditions, at this track, has a high probablility of never happening again.

A shame this race wasn't in our contest, but I am going to keep the money.

Bet a little to win a lot!

Chris

P.S. Don't post races in advance because I do them as I go along, and then quickly move to the next race.

01-10-2010, 11:39 AM	#3
chris Grade 1 Join Date: Jun 2005 Location: Richfield, MN Posts: 182	BJennet - Total Energy Is this the one your friend bet? From my Twinspires account: 2010-01-09 09:29:51 Bet* Aqueduct 1 Trifecta $1.00 2+3+9/10/1+2+3+5+9 $12.00 $869.50 2010-01-09 09:30:19 Bet* Aqueduct 1 Win $2.00 2+9 $4.00 $20.80 However in my case Total Energy wasn't the determinate. A questionable favorite and a horse who loves to hang pointed me in this direction. The favorite was out of the money, the hangar hung, and held for 2nd, the 9-1 horse won, and my other win bet, at 67-1, ran third. Made for a nice trifecta. This is a case of the race informing the bet; didn't know who was going to win but was reasonably sure who wasn't, and had a strong sense of who was going to run second. Rdss (Val 4) confirmed my choices, more rather than less, and so I went ahead. Don't remember how the horses were ranked/tiered, but don't have to because this exact race, with these combatants, at this distance, under these weather conditions, at this track, has a high probablility of never happening again. A shame this race wasn't in our contest, but I am going to keep the money. Bet a little to win a lot! Chris P.S. Don't post races in advance because I do them as I go along, and then quickly move to the next race.