Quote:
Originally Posted by JimG
Nice presentation Mike. I am a little curious at why you kept the 13 in your exotic mix and instead tossed out the two horses you did?
Now I have got to play supers  for a shot at this contest. Thanks alot Mike. 
Goes to show you two guys using a quality program with many features can approach the race very differently. Of course the same is true with RDSS as well.
Jim |
I guess the question of which to keep and which to toss comes down to art (luck?) more than science. BLAM stuck 10 with its last race which I believe was a great call given that the horse was an 0-26 maiden, broke its maiden in very weak fashion against a poor field, then ran poorly (much more poorly than its finish indicates) in n2l company. Its 75 PBS was the poorest in the field and its PPF was among the worst.
The 2 made me much more nervous, but it still didn't have numbers or exotic patterns going for it. The 13 missed by 3/4 lengths at the same level, is usually near the pace and has better numbers than the 2 and 10. If I had only had $20 to spend on exotics it would have been the next to go.
I'm not counting any money or victories just yet. I recall the contest here last year where the players here made some incredible calls. With a big enough field in a race, and the excellent 'cappers here, who knows what may happen.
I'm off to shower up from my just completed run - staying in shape @ 44 years old is H-E-L-L - and then watch some races. There is a very intriguing downhill turf race at Santa Anita today. My mortgage guy's father owns Reba Is Tops, a former EmD horse, and my sentimental favorite in the race. My money, however, is going toward the #11. It is a Pletcher shipper with a huge PBS earned in an AP about distance. This adjustment greatly favors the SoCal horses, yet Pletcher's horse has the big number, tactical speed, a nice T3 form pattern...
Good luck and have a great day!