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Good Morning Bill.
I used 1's last line to project todays pace of 22.2, 45.4, 110.5
There are a good deal of pressers in this race, so I see race being OTE, although I do think the 1 will hold strongest of pace horses and could pick up bottom of exotics...
1- Wire to wire at projected pace, but is stretching out
2- Major stamina issues. Will need to go faster early for lead. Eliminated.
3- Excellent race 3 back, against roughly projected pace
4- Too Slow, Eliminated
5- Off the pace horse, but needs to go faster today. Eliminated
6- OTE, but hasnt been close last 3. Off Long Layoff. Eliminated.
7- Ecellent 3 back. Can be close off todays pace.
8- Great presser, who can be closee against faster pace.
9- Too Slow Eliminated.
Contenders left are 1-3-7-8.
The 1 as said, is an exotic threat only. Too much pace in here.
The 7 has raced against slower pace, and has the slowest 7 furlong final time of the 3 horses left.
Leaves 3 and 8 for top win honors. Both should be barely off the pace early. I cant see a deep closer passing this 1 late. The 1 has a decent finishing kick even after posting good fractions!
So 3 and 8 to win.
Good Luck
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